We’re set for another big Friday night MLB slate, which means plenty of opportunities to take advantage of player proposition betting opportunities. We’ve got some enticing situations to dive into on Friday regarding both pitchers and hitters, including the always-fascinating home run proposition.
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I offer my favorite prop bets for MLB games. Friday, May 26, 2023, in this article. Good luck Rotoballers!
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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets – Today’s betting picks
Joey Wentz Over 5.5 Allowed (-110 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Wentz has struggled all season as he has been held to a 7.45 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched over nine starts. The youngster has made as much contact as those numbers indicate, as he has struck out 49 batters in 38.2 innings.
Wentz has struck out 16 in 4.2 innings over his last two starts. He has given up at least six hits in five of his nine starts overall, and the White Sox make for an interesting opponent despite their offensive struggles at times this season.
Chicago, in particular, has left-handers with a .300 average, .814 OPS and .353 wOBA in that division, along with an 18.9 percent strikeout rate, coming into May. Given Wentz’s recent form and matchup, this is a proposition that should have a chance to make good money.
Hunter Brown Over 6.5 Shots (+128 FanDuel Sportsbook)
Brown, despite his age, is striking out more than his fair share of big league hitters, and Friday’s opponent’s athleticism has once again fallen victim.
Oakland served as Brown’s opponent in his most recent start, and racked up a career-high nine strikeouts for the A’s. That performance marked Brown’s fifth over six goals in nine starts.
The A’s continue to be one of baseball’s worst hitting teams and look to Friday’s contest with an MLB-high 27.7 percent of right-handed batters in May and generating the second-worst wRAA (-25.0) in that span.
Hunter Brown, Dirt 87mph Splitter. ✌️
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 20, 2023
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MLB Hitter Prop Bets – Today’s betting picks
Tim Anderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-123 Caesars Sportsbook)
Anderson hasn’t been hitting his stride yet this season, but as usual, he’s been against left-handed pitching. The veteran shortstop has a .333 average in a small sample size of 27 plate appearances in that division this season and has a .341 average and .852 OPS with a southpaw since the start of the 2021 season.
Tigers starter Joey Wentz has struggled a lot this season, as noted in the introduction to the prospect above. The lefty was generous in opposite-handed matchups, posting a .323 average, .401 wOBA and 13 extra-base hits over the 139 right-handed batters he faced.
Anderson is hitting at a modest 18.8 percent clip and has an expected batting average of .277, which is higher than his actual figure of .244. With his track record, especially on graphics, this is a very viable proposition.
Adolis Garcia to hit a HR (+600 at Caesars Sportsbook).
A home-run prop is often a risky and fun bet to sweat out. The best price is directly related to the previous one, and there are definitely reasonable places to take a shot.
Garcia found himself in such a situation Friday against Orioles starter Grayson Rodriguez, who has plenty of talent but has given up eight homers in just 17.2 innings (four starts). Meanwhile, right-hander Garcia has 14 round trippers in 206 plate appearances, 11 of those coming in same-handed matchups.
Rodriguez has also given up a .368 average, 96.7 mph average exit velocity and a .476 wOBA with his trademark pitch, the four-seam fastball, while Garcia has dropped his sacrifice bunt for six of his homers this season. O’s relievers have surrendered six homers to right-handed hitters so far in May.
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (+120 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Perez is traditionally a left-handed hitter and has a .288 average and .912 OPS with the southpaws since the start of the 2021 season.
On Friday, he strung together four straight quality starts but took a crack at veteran Nationals lefty Patrick Corbin, who was swinging in the head. Not only has Corbin been a hitter over the past two seasons (6.05 ERA, 1.58 WHIP), he’s also sporting a .323 xBA, .376 xwOBA and 6.09 xERA this season.
Perez also boasts a .300 average, .888 OPS and .365 wOBA at home, and is posting a .408 wOBA overall in May. Meanwhile, Corbin has been particularly vulnerable to right-handed hitters on the road, giving up a .313 average and .376 wOBA while posting a career-low 5.5 K/9 in that division.
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