What could be better than a full Saturday of MLB action? Well, Saturday is full of MLB betting opportunities.
Lucky for you, there are 15 games on the MLB slate for Saturday, May 27th, so we have both. The loaded schedule offers plenty of viable possibilities and our MLB betting experts have found the value across the board.
So, keep reading for their picks and best MLB bets for Saturday, May 27.
Saturday’s MLB best bet
The team logos in the table below represent each matchup that our MLB betting staff has targeted from today’s schedule. Click on the team logos for the matches below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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| Certain betting tips come from sportsbooks that offer odds as textual favourites. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically generates the best lines for each game. | ||
Padres vs. Yankees
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by DJ James
Luis Severino has finally found his way to the New York Yankees mound. When healthy, he’s one of the most effective pitchers, and he showed that in his first outing, going 4 1/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds and giving up just one run.
He faces Michael Wacha and the San Diego Padres. Wacha may have been considered an “innings-eater” for the Padres heading into the 2023 campaign, but at least he overachieved expectations. He has been fantastic lately and should be able to continue some of his progress.
Both the Padres and Yankees have enough cannons in their bullpen to defend the offenses, so the underdogs in that game should play.
Wacha signed with the Padres in mid-February, so his 3.58 ERA has certainly exceeded expectations. His xERA comes into this game a touch over 4.00, but the past month has been impressive. In May, in 25 innings and four starts, Wacha has a 0.35 ERA.
The Padres offense has struggled against right-handed pitching this month. They own a team wRC+ of 82, which ranks 25th in MLB. They have a 12.9% walk rate, but patience doesn’t always lead to power. It doesn’t help that Manny Machado is on the injured list.
In relief, the Padres have a team xFIP of 4.21, which is among the league. They have four relievers under a 4.00 xFIP, so those should be options if the game is within reach.
Severino showed some brilliance in that game against the Reds. Over 102 innings last season, the righty had a 3.18 ERA against a 2.94 xERA, so he was shocked when he pitched.
The Yankees lineup is a threat to the underdogs in this game. They have a team wRC+ of 112 this month along with a .766 OPS. Aaron Judge has a right-handed xwOBA over .500 and New York has four other active defenders with xwOBAs over .330.
In general, it should be possible to zoom in on this. Wacha can continue his run as long as he can get turned around by the referee. The rest of the Yankee lineup is doable. Severino did well in his first start and can manage in a weaker-than-average (currently) San Diego lineup. Take the under 9 (-105) in this game and play it to 8.5 (-120).
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Rangers vs. Orioles
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by DJ James
Dean Creamer is the worst starting pitcher against the Baltimore Orioles, and he faces the Texas Rangers on Saturday, one of the best offenses. Andrew Haney, who has been more impressive than the results suggest, will start for Texas.
Kramer ranks in the 22nd percentile in average exit velocity and the 10th percentile in hard-hit rate. He has a 4.61 ERA, but his xERA is 6.75 with an 11.4% barrel rate. He’s overrated in May, and Texas should be able to get to him.
Heaney has the opposite case with a 4.13 ERA with a 3.60 xERA. He ranks in the 62nd percentile in average exit velocity and the 87th percentile in hard-hit rate. In his last two starts, he’s allowed just one earned run over 12 innings. Things are definitely going in the right direction.
Texas has a team wRC+ of 106 against right-handed pitching, which ranks eighth in baseball.
Baltimore is 115 against lefties, but Heaney is much better than Kramer.
Baltimore has a reliever with a May xFIP of 3.50 versus Texas’ 5.09, but with Heaney able to pitch in games, that will minimize any damage done by the Rangers’ relievers.
This line is heavily skewed toward the Orioles, so take the Rangers to -135. They should be favored.
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to pre-load their betting slips on FanDuel Sportsbook.
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